Impact of COVID-19 on the rate of stroke cases at a tertiary hospital in Makkah, Saudi Arabia ============================================================================================= * Ebaa T. Samkari * Amal M. Alkhotani * Mohammed I. Siddiqui ## ABSTRACT **Objectives:** To assess and quantify the impact COVID-19 has had thus far on ischemic stroke admission rate and severity (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score) at a single tertiary center in Makkah, Saudi Arabia. **Methods:** This is a retrospective analysis performed on admitted cases with definitive final diagnoses of transient ischemic attack (TIA) and ischemic stroke at King Abdullah Medical City in Makkah between January 1, 2020 and July 2020. **Results:** Sixty-nine patients were included in our study, 41 of whom presented at our facility before the pandemic and 29 during the pandemic. No statistical significance was observed between rate of admission, stroke severity, and rate of thrombolysis before the COVID-19 pandemic and after the outbreak. We observed a reduction of mean arrival time after the pandemic began, as well as a reduction of hospital stay days. **Conclusion:** A 29% reduction of admission secondary to acute ischemic stroke was noted during the pandemic. However, COVID-19 did not affect acute stroke care at our institute. The study is limited because of its small sample size, as we assessed just one medical center. Stroke is the second most common cause of mortality and one of the leading causes of disability worldwide.1 In the United States, stroke occurs every 40 seconds, with a person dying every 4 minutes as a result.2 In Saudi Arabia, a recent systematic review found that there is an annual incidence of 29 strokes per 100,000 people (95% CI: 15 to 47).3 Awada et al4 have reported that ischemic strokes accounted for 76% of these cases, of which one-third lacunar infarcts were. Most hemorrhagic strokes were intra-cerebral hemorrhages, and only 2% of all strokes were subarachnoid hemorrhages. Stroke management has different aspects, including acute intervention, investigating the cause, preventing further stroke, modifying risk factors, and preventing complications. This multifaceted approach has been associated with decreased incidence of stroke in the past 30 years in high-income countries.5 Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-COV-2) is a novel coronavirus that first appeared in Wuhan, China in December 2019. This virus is responsible for the COVID-19 pandemic, which has thus far seen more than 15 million cases and more than 600,000 deaths globally.6 Because of the disease’s high infection rate and mortality, many governments imposed or continue to impose different protective measures to slow the transmission of the disease and to prevent cases from overwhelming health care systems. Regulations have included school shutdowns, social distancing, the compulsory wearing of masks in public places, and partial or complete local and/or national lockdowns. The first officially reported case in Saudi Arabia was on March 2, 2020, and a partial lockdown started on March 23 of the same year. The number of cases in Makkah have increased dramatically since then, so the Ministry of Health imposed more restrictions, including a complete lockdown except for those in need of emergency medical care.7 King Abdullah Medical City is the largest and only tertiary hospital in Makkah, and the only one that can perform mechanical thrombectomy (MT). As such, it is considered to be a comprehensive stroke center, one that serves a large population in Makkah and the surrounding area. In this study, we aim to assess and quantify the impact of COVID-19 on the admission rate and severity (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score; NIHSS) of ischemic stroke at this single tertiary center in Makkah. ## Methods. ### Study design and population. This is a retrospective analysis performed between January 1, 2020 and July 31, 2020 on admitted cases with definitive final diagnoses of transient ischemic attack (TIA) and ischemic stroke at King Abdullah Medical City in Makkah. Hemorrhagic strokes were excluded. We divided cases into 2 groups based on admission, with one group presenting before the start of lockdown and social distancing measures on March 23, 2020, and the other group presenting on or after this date. Evaluation of the number and severity of stroke cases were compared between the 2 groups. ### Sampling technique and sample size. We used a non-probability consecutive sampling technique, as expected cases were low in number due to low prevalence of stroke rate. Only 69 patients fulfilled the definitive final diagnosis of TIA and ischemic stroke. ### Data collection. Data were collected from the admission registry of the neuroscience center, and included a patient’s demographic features, date of presentation, time of onset to presentation, stroke type, NIHSS, duration of admission, intensive care unit (ICU) admission and duration, and TPA and intervention. The collected data were recorded on an Excel sheet. ### Statistical analysis. Data analysis was performed using SPSS (Statistical Package for the Social Sciences) version 23. Categorical variables were described using their absolute frequencies and percentages. To compare the proportion of categorical data, we used the chi square test and Fisher exact test when appropriate. Student t test of independence was used to compare the numerical data. The confidence interval was set at 95% and the level of statistical significance was set at 5% (*p*<0.05). Difference was deemed highly significant if *p*≤0.01. ### Ethical considerations. Ethical approval was obtained from King Abdullah Medical City’s Ethics and Research Committee, and consent was waived because the study is a retrospective chart review. ## Results. Table 1 shows patient demographic data. Sixty-nine patients met the inclusion criteria, with 40 presenting before and 29 presenting on or after March 23, 2020. Forty-four were male and 25 were female, and the mean ages for these groups were 61.27 and 60.86 years, respectively. However, there was no statistically significant difference of the age variable when looking at patients in the 2 groups. The majority of our cases were Saudi patients (50 individuals overall; 73%), although this figure reduced from 30 before to 20 patients on and after March 23, but did not reach statistical significance. The number of female admissions reduced significantly from 20 before to 5 on and after March 23, and there was a highly significant difference between pre- and post-COVID-19 admissions (*p*=0.01). There was a reduction in total admissions of acute ischemic stroke after the lockdown in comparison with the period beforehand (29 to 40). However, this drop was not statistically significant. Table 2 shows the clinical characteristics of stroke pre- and post-March 23. There are no significant changes in the type and/or severity of stroke, mean NIHSS, rate of thrombolysis, and performance of MT. The number of ICU admissions and duration of admission were not affected by the lockdown situation. ## Discussion. The COVID-19 pandemic has had a major impact on health care systems worldwide. The disease has led to an increase in the number of acute respiratory cases presenting at hospitals and eventually ICUs, and has also affected the admissions and care of other diseases. Most countries adopted some form of curfew or lockdown, as well as preventive measures to reduce the burden of the disease. Such measures have affected the level of care patients with other acute cases have received during the pandemic.8,9 A study of 65 academic and community hospitals across the United States compared acute stroke and acute coronary syndrome (ACS) admissions from March 2020 with data from before the COVID-19 outbreak. Stroke or ACS hospitalizations in March 2020 decreased by 17.6% and 25.7% relative to March 2019 and March 2018, respectively. In March 2020, thrombolysis admissions decreased by 3.3%, while MT performance increased by 18.8%.10 These changes are likely related to the decrease in seeking medical advice for patients with acute stroke and ACS. Another study from Brazil showed a decrease in total stroke admissions by 36.4% when compared with the same period in 2019. Significant reductions in admission were observed in relation to transient, mild, and moderate stroke,11 yet no difference was observed in admissions for severe stroke (NIHSS >8), intraparenchymal hemorrhage, and subarachnoid hemorrhage. Several other studies from different countries have demonstrated a similar effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the admission rate for acute stroke.1,8,11-21 Our study compared admissions before the COVID-19 outbreak (41 admissions) with those that occurred during the pandemic (29 admissions), thus noting a reduction in total admission of acute ischemic stroke between the 2 periods. We had a 29% reduction of total acute ischemic stroke admissions during the pandemic, although this was not statistically significant because of the small sample size in the current study. There were no significant differences in the admission rate for TIA, or minor or major stroke between the pre- and post-COVID-19 periods. As a tertiary care center in Makkah, our facility’s emergency room is restricted to eligible patients and those referred from other hospitals in the region. Our data show a reduction in such referrals for acute stroke (from 12 to 4), which indicates the reduction of acute stroke cases seen in other hospitals that have more availability to treat acutely sick patients. The results might have been different if the study was carried out at other hospitals more directly affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. View this table: [Table 1](http://nsj.org.sa/content/26/2/158/T1) Table 1 - Demographic data of patients admitted at King Abdullah Hospital, Makkah. View this table: [Table 2](http://nsj.org.sa/content/26/2/158/T2) Table 2 - Clinical characteristic of stroke patients. mean±SD. In our study, there was no significant change in the number of cases that received thrombolysis or MT. An interesting finding was that prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, the mean duration of symptoms before arrival at hospital was 21.9 hours, whereas during the pandemic it had reduced to 8 hours (*p*=0.032). This may be related to more utilization of Red Crescent during the curfew time. During this period, patients required a permit to leave their homes, which prompted more utilization of the emergency services. Another possibility is the wider use of telemedicine and the availability of a hot line to answer patients’ queries, which led to solutions without requiring individuals to attend medical facilities in order to gain medical advice for acute stroke patients. Our results deviate from those of Böjti et al,12 who observed a significant delay in the arrival time of patients suffering from acute stroke. In their study, they observed a 13% increase of patients arriving after 24 hours.12 This effect was also seen in a study conducted in Hong Kong, which showed a prolongation of time of onset to emergency room arrival.22 Another interesting yet not statistically significant point is the duration of admissions, which we observed to be 5 days shorter during the pandemic. This is likely because the chronic case load lessened during this time, facilitating the work up for admitted cases and resulting in quicker access to radiology and cardiac investigations. COVID-19 has not only affected the rate of acute stroke admission but also the pathway and the chain of management of acute stroke. A study from Italy during the nation’s lockdown showed a significant increase in onset-to-door time (median=387 vs 161 min, *p*=0.001), with thrombolysis (7 vs 13, *p*=0.033) and a significant increase in door-to-groin time noted (median=120 vs 93 min, *p*=0.048).23 Another study from France showed 21% reduction of MT since the start of the pandemic (0.79; [95%CI, 0.76-0.82]; *p*<0.001), with significant increase observed between imaging-to-groin time (mean 144.9±SD 86.8 mins versus 126.2±70.9; *p*<0.001 in 2019).24 A study from New York City found longer median door-to-head CT times (16 vs 12 min; *p*=0.05), as well as longer door-to-groin puncture times (79.5 vs. 71 min, *p*=0.06). However, time to thrombolysis (36 vs 35 min; *p*=0.83), door-to-reperfusion times (103 vs 97 min, *p*=0.18), and defect-free care (95.2% vs 94.7%; *p*=0.84) were similar in the before and during pandemic groups.25 We did not look at this particular point in our study. ### Study limitations. The main limitation of our study is its small sample size, as the research took place at one medical facility, King Abdullah Medical City. In order to understand better the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on stroke admission, it would be beneficial to recruit more centers and evaluate larger sample data in future studies. In conclusion, our study showed a reduction of stroke admission during the pandemic. However, we did not observe any major impact of COVID-19 on the care of active acute stroke cases. Of interest, patients arrived at the emergency room more rapidly after the onset of acute stroke during the pandemic, and admission duration was shorter. Ethical Consent All manuscripts reporting the results of experimental investigations involving human subjects should include a statement confirming that informed consent was obtained from each subject or subject’s guardian, after receiving approval of the experimental protocol by a local human ethics committee, or institutional review board. When reporting experiments on animals, authors should indicate whether the institutional and national guide for the care and use of laboratory animals was followed. ## Footnotes * **Disclosure.** Authors have no conflict of interests, and the work was not supported or funded by any drug company. * Received September 26, 2020. * Accepted January 1, 2020. * Copyright: © Neurosciences Neurosciences is an Open Access journal and articles published are distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial License (CC BY-NC). 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