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Research ArticleOriginal Article
Open Access

Derivation and validation of the CANP scoring model for predicting the neurological outcome in post-cardiac arrest patients

Gannan Wang, Zhongman Zhang, Xiaoquan Xu, Qingsong Sun, Haichen Yang and Jinsong Zhang
Neurosciences Journal October 2021, 26 (4) 372-378; DOI: https://doi.org/10.17712/nsj.2021.4.20210056
Gannan Wang
From the Department of Emergency (Wang, Z Zhang, J Zhang), Department of Radiology (Xu), the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210029, China; Department of Emergency (Sun), the Affiliated Huai’an No.1 People’s Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Huai’an, Jiangsu 223300, China; Department of Emergency (Yang), the Affiliated Huai’an Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Huai’an, Jiangsu 223002, China
MD
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Zhongman Zhang
From the Department of Emergency (Wang, Z Zhang, J Zhang), Department of Radiology (Xu), the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210029, China; Department of Emergency (Sun), the Affiliated Huai’an No.1 People’s Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Huai’an, Jiangsu 223300, China; Department of Emergency (Yang), the Affiliated Huai’an Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Huai’an, Jiangsu 223002, China
MD
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Xiaoquan Xu
From the Department of Emergency (Wang, Z Zhang, J Zhang), Department of Radiology (Xu), the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210029, China; Department of Emergency (Sun), the Affiliated Huai’an No.1 People’s Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Huai’an, Jiangsu 223300, China; Department of Emergency (Yang), the Affiliated Huai’an Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Huai’an, Jiangsu 223002, China
MD
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Qingsong Sun
From the Department of Emergency (Wang, Z Zhang, J Zhang), Department of Radiology (Xu), the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210029, China; Department of Emergency (Sun), the Affiliated Huai’an No.1 People’s Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Huai’an, Jiangsu 223300, China; Department of Emergency (Yang), the Affiliated Huai’an Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Huai’an, Jiangsu 223002, China
MD
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Haichen Yang
From the Department of Emergency (Wang, Z Zhang, J Zhang), Department of Radiology (Xu), the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210029, China; Department of Emergency (Sun), the Affiliated Huai’an No.1 People’s Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Huai’an, Jiangsu 223300, China; Department of Emergency (Yang), the Affiliated Huai’an Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Huai’an, Jiangsu 223002, China
MD
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Jinsong Zhang
From the Department of Emergency (Wang, Z Zhang, J Zhang), Department of Radiology (Xu), the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210029, China; Department of Emergency (Sun), the Affiliated Huai’an No.1 People’s Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Huai’an, Jiangsu 223300, China; Department of Emergency (Yang), the Affiliated Huai’an Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Huai’an, Jiangsu 223002, China
MD, PhD.
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  • For correspondence: [email protected]
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    Figure 1

    - Flow chart of patient enrollment.

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    Figure 2

    - Comparison of CANP scores between patients with unfavorable and favorable neurological outcome in the validation cohort. CANP- Cardiac Arrest Neurological Prognosis.

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    Table 1

    - Baseline characteristics of the derivation and validation cohorts.

    VariableDerivation cohort (n = 80)Validation cohort (n = 79)
    Age (years), mean±SD50.23±18.8954.57±14.40
    Male, n (%)54 (67.5)45 (57.0)
    Witnessed, n (%)60 (75.0)71 (89.9)
    Bystander CPR, n (%)55 (68.8)33 (41.8)
    Out-of-hospital CA, n (%)47 (58.8)49 (62.0)
    Comorbidities, n (%)
    Coronary artery disease9 (11.3)10 (12.7)
    Hypertension31 (38.8)35 (44.3)
    Diabetes14 (17.5)17 (21.5)
    Stroke9 (11.3)8 (10.1)
    Initial rhythm, shockable, n (%)29 (36.3)21 (26.6)
    Cardiac etiology, n (%)41 (51.2)24 (30.4)
    Duration of resuscitation (min), median (IQR)31.00 (17.75-50.00)20.00 (12.00-40.00)
    Length of stay in hospital (d), median (IQR)11.00 (4.00-22.75)12.00 (6.00-19.00)
    GCS-M ≤2, n (%)61 (76.3)54 (68.4)
    Pupillary/corneal reflex, n (%)52 (65.0)39 (49.4)
    GWR, median (IQR)
    Basal ganglia1.18 (1.11-1.29)1.18 (1.10-1.28)
    Average1.24 (1.12-1.35)1.22 (1.16-1.33)
    NSE (ng/ml), median (IQR)83.51 (36.28-243.90)86.87 (36.30-300.00)
    CPC at 30 days, n (%)
    CPC 3-558 (72.5)55 (69.6)
    CPC 1-222 (27.5)24 (30.4)
    • SD- standard deviation, CPR- cardiopulmonary resuscitation, CA- cardiac arrest, IQR- interquartile range, GCS-M- Glasgow Coma Scale motor score, GWR- gray-white matter ratio, NSE- neuron-specific enolase, CPC- cerebral performance category

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    Table 2

    - Univariate analysis of prognostic factors associated with unfavorable neurological outcome in the derivation cohort.

    VariablesUnfavorable outcome CPC 3-5 (n=58)Favorable outcome CPC 1-2 (n=22)P-value
    Age (years), mean±SD49.35±19.5352.55±17.290.502
    Male, n (%)40 (69.0)14 (63.6)0.650
    Witnessed, n (%)39 (67.2)21 (95.5)0.009
    Bystander CPR, n (%)36 (62.1)19 (86.4)0.036
    Out-of-hospital CA, n (%)35 (60.3)12 (54.5)0.638
    Comorbidities, n (%)
    Coronary artery disease9 (15.5)0 (0)0.118
    Hypertension22 (37.9)9 (40.9)0.807
    Diabetes8 (13.8)6 (27.3)0.277
    Stroke6 (10.3)3 (13.6)0.984
    Initial rhythm, shockable, n (%)16 (27.6)13 (59.1)0.009
    Cardiac etiology, n (%)27 (46.6)14 (63.6)0.172
    Duration of resuscitation (min), median (IQR)40.00 (25.75-79.75)29.50 (16.75-51.75)0.035
    Length of stay in hospital (d), median (IQR)11.50 (5.00-23.25)18.50 (14.00-24.25)0.097
    GCS-M ≤ 2, n (%)54 (93.1)7 (31.8)<0.001
    Pupillary/corneal reflex, n (%)30 (51.7)22 (100)<0.001
    GWR, median (IQR)
    Basal ganglia1.15 (1.08-1.24)1.27 (1.22-1.37)<0.001
    Average1.20 (1.09-1.31)1.32 (1.24-1.44)0.001
    NSE (ng/ml), median (IQR)151.60 (67.23-347.35)37.00 (30.32-49.95)<0.001
    • CPC- cerebral performance category, SD- standard deviation, CPR- cardiopulmonary resuscitation, CA- cardiac arrest, IQR- interquartile range, GCS-M- Glasgow Coma Scale motor score, GWR - gray-white matter ratio, NSE - neuron-specific enolase

    • View popup
    Table 3

    - Categorical classification of each variable.

    Scores012
    Witnessed/Bystander CPRWitnessed, Bystander CPRWitnessed, No bystander CPRNo witnessed
    Initial rhythmShockableNonshockable 
    Duration of resuscitation< 30min≥ 30min 
    GCS-M> 2≤ 2 
    Pupillary/corneal reflexYesNo 
    GWR-basal ganglia≥ 1.201.15-1.19< 1.15
    NSE (ng/ml)< 8080-159≥ 160
    • CPR- cardiopulmonary resuscitation; GCS-M- Glasgow Coma Scale motor score; GWR- gray-white matter ratio; NSE- neuron-specific enolase

    • View popup
    Table 4

    - ROC-analysis for prediction of unfavorable neurological outcome in both derivation and validation cohorts.

    Prognostic factorsCut-off valueSensitivity (%)Specificity (%)PPV (%)NPV (%)AUC (95% CI)P-value
    Derivation cohort
    CANP
     ≥394.877.391.785.00.948 (0.902-0.993)<0.001
     ≥565.510010052.4
    GWR≤1.1865.586.492.748.70.784 (0.686-0.883)<0.001
    Validation cohort
    CANP≥568.810010080.00.964 (0.928-0.999)<0.001
    GWR≤1.1850.087.879.265.50.783 (0.681-0.885)<0.001
    • PPV- positive predictive value, NPV- negative predictive value, AUC - area under the curve, CI - confidence interval, CANP - Cardiac Arrest Neurological Prognosis, GWR - gray-white matter ratio

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Neurosciences Journal: 26 (4)
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Derivation and validation of the CANP scoring model for predicting the neurological outcome in post-cardiac arrest patients
Gannan Wang, Zhongman Zhang, Xiaoquan Xu, Qingsong Sun, Haichen Yang, Jinsong Zhang
Neurosciences Journal Oct 2021, 26 (4) 372-378; DOI: 10.17712/nsj.2021.4.20210056

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Derivation and validation of the CANP scoring model for predicting the neurological outcome in post-cardiac arrest patients
Gannan Wang, Zhongman Zhang, Xiaoquan Xu, Qingsong Sun, Haichen Yang, Jinsong Zhang
Neurosciences Journal Oct 2021, 26 (4) 372-378; DOI: 10.17712/nsj.2021.4.20210056
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